Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · SF · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 11.8-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
Across all 0 games, Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 0 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 144 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 217, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
16 games · 11.8 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYGW | 7 | 77 | 0 | 77% | Daniels | soft | 22.6 |
| 2 | @GBL | 7 | 44 | 1 | 88% | Daniels | mid | 17.4 |
| 3 | LVW | 2 | 11 | 0 | 43% | Mariota | mid | 4.9 |
| 4 | @ATLL | 6 | 72 | 1 | 86% | Mariota | mid | 20.1 |
| 5 | @LACW | 8 | 96 | 1 | 78% | Daniels | tough | 23.6 |
| 6 | CHIL | 4 | 15 | 0 | 72% | Daniels | soft | 5.4 |
| 8 | @KCL | 3 | 11 | 0 | 74% | Mariota | tough | 4.2 |
| 9 | SEAL | 5 | 41 | 0 | 68% | Daniels | tough | 9.4 |
| 10 | DETL | 4 | 29 | 1 | 78% | Mariota | soft | 12.9 |
| 11 | @MIAL | 7 | 74 | 1 | 75% | Mariota | mid | 20.7 |
| 13 | DENL | 5 | 64 | 0 | 70% | Mariota | tough | 11.1 |
| 14 | @MINL | 4 | 27 | 0 | 52% | Daniels | tough | 6.7 |
| 15 | @NYGW | 3 | 43 | 0 | 61% | Mariota | soft | 7.3 |
| 16 | PHIL | 3 | 35 | 0 | 81% | Mariota | tough | 6.5 |
| 17 | DALL | 2 | 68 | 0 | 82% | Johnson | soft | 11.3 |
| 18 | @PHIW | 2 | 20 | 0 | 71% | Johnson | tough | 4.1 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.9yd (3.7 → 2.8yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.