Josh Jacobs
RB · GB · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 14.7-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with love, Jacobs averaged 17.8 PPG — 2 more than the 15.8 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 182 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 59 and 299, with a 37% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
15 games · 15.8 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DETW | 66 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 88% | Love | tough | 14.0 |
| 2 | WASW | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78% | Love | soft | 14.4 |
| 3 | @CLEL | 30 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 66% | Love | mid | 12.4 |
| 4 | @DALL | 86 | 2 | 4 | 71 | 0 | 65% | Love | soft | 31.7 |
| 6 | CINW | 93 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 79% | Love | soft | 32.0 |
| 7 | @ARIW | 55 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 55% | Love | soft | 18.8 |
| 8 | @PITW | 33 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 53% | Love | tough | 13.5 |
| 9 | CARL | 87 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 58% | Love | soft | 20.0 |
| 10 | PHIL | 74 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 74% | Love | mid | 19.7 |
| 11 | @NYGW | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22%! | Love | soft | 4.0 |
| 13 | @DETW | 83 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 54% | Love | tough | 10.1 |
| 14 | CHIW | 86 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 72% | Love | soft | 17.2 |
| 15 | @DENL | 73 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 55% | Love | tough | 23.2 |
| 16 | @CHIL | 36 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 39%! | Willis | soft | 4.8 |
| 17 | BALL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28%! | Willis | soft | 1.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4 (-0.2 → 0.2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.