David Montgomery

RB · HOU · on the draft board

market valueRB22· 3,232 value· tier 23· ▲ up 143 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

9.8PPG

+0 vs 2025 avg (9.8) · 17 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

9.8

Avg PPG (split)

8.3

Median week

29.4

Ceiling

1.2

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 32%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

20%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 37 chances

-6.2%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (DET)

12%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (DET)

+0.80

Rush yds over exp / att

efficiency vs his blocking

34%

Stacked boxes

carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 9.8-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, David Montgomery averaged 9.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 153

5048% bust19% @1.5x250

Expect about 153 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 250, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 9.8 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@GBL	25	0	4	18	37%!	Goff	mid	8.3
2	CHIW	57	1	1	4	39%!	Goff	soft	13.1
3	@BALW	151	2	1	13	37%!	Goff	soft	29.4
4	CLEW	12	0	0	0	33%!	Goff	mid	1.2
5	@CINW	65	1	1	6	53%	Goff	soft	18.2
6	@KCL	24	0	2	37	31%!	Goff	tough	8.1
7	TBW	21	0	2	18	44%	Goff	mid	5.9
9	MINL	40	1	2	10	38%!	Goff	tough	11.0
10	@WASW	71	0	1	0	54%	Goff	soft	10.1
11	@PHIL	27	0	1	10	39%!	Goff	mid	4.7
12	NYGW	18	0	3	19	34%!	Goff	soft	6.7
13	GBL	32	1	2	16	38%!	Goff	mid	12.8
14	DALW	60	1	1	13	31%!	Goff	soft	14.3
15	@LAL	32	1	0	0	28%!	Goff	mid	9.2
16	PITL	14	0	0	0	18%!	Goff	tough	1.4
17	@MINL	25	0	2	15	34%!	Goff	tough	6.0
18	@CHIW	42	0	1	13	42%	Goff	soft	6.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -3.5 (2.6 → -0.9). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — HOUvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 0 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

JAX

Wk 16

@PHI

Wk 17

@GB

Full season

Wk 1

BUF

Wk 2

CIN

Wk 3

@IND

Wk 4

DAL

Wk 5

@TEN

Wk 6

@JAX

Wk 7

NYG

Wk 9

@LAC

Wk 10

@CLE

Wk 11

IND

Wk 12

BAL

Wk 13

@PIT

Wk 14

@WAS

Wk 15

JAX

Wk 16

@PHI

Wk 17

@GB

Wk 18

TEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.