DK Metcalf
WR · PIT · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 2.1-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with rodgers, Metcalf averaged 12.3 PPG — 0.1 fewer than the 12.5 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 171 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 77 and 258, with a 57% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
15 games · 12.5 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NYJW | 4 | 83 | 0 | 95% | Rodgers | mid | 12.3 |
| 2 | SEAL | 3 | 20 | 1 | 90% | Rodgers | tough | 11.0 |
| 3 | @NEW | 3 | 32 | 1 | 89% | Rodgers | mid | 12.2 |
| 4 | MINW | 5 | 126 | 1 | 79% | Rodgers | tough | 23.6 |
| 6 | CLEW | 4 | 95 | 1 | 83% | Rodgers | mid | 19.5 |
| 7 | @CINL | 3 | 50 | 0 | 98% | Rodgers | tough | 8.0 |
| 8 | GBL | 5 | 55 | 1 | 94% | Rodgers | mid | 16.5 |
| 9 | INDW | 2 | 6 | 0 | 82% | Rodgers | soft | 2.6 |
| 10 | @LACL | 3 | 35 | 0 | 92% | Rodgers | tough | 6.5 |
| 11 | CINW | 5 | 49 | 0 | 86% | Rodgers | tough | 9.9 |
| 12 | @CHIL | 5 | 22 | 0 | 85% | Rudolph | soft | 14.4 |
| 13 | BUFL | 3 | 32 | 0 | 86% | Rodgers | tough | 6.2 |
| 14 | @BALW | 7 | 148 | 0 | 83% | Rodgers | soft | 21.8 |
| 15 | MIAW | 3 | 55 | 1 | 79% | Rodgers | mid | 14.5 |
| 16 | @DETW | 4 | 42 | 0 | 88% | Rodgers | soft | 8.2 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.