Ty Johnson

RB · BUF · on the draft board

community activityADP rising

5PPG

-0.9 vs 2025 avg (5.9) · 16 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Allen

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

Avg PPG (split)

5.1

Median week

Ceiling

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 22%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

12%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 23 chances

-2.5%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (BUF)

11%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (BUF)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 14.6-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with allen, Johnson averaged 5 PPG — 0.9 fewer than the 5.9 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 55

1895% bust5% @1.5x90

Expect about 55 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 18 and 90, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 5.9 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	BALW	24	0	0	0	0	33%!	Allen	soft	2.4
2	@NYJW	6	0	0	0	0	25%!	Allen	soft	0.6
3	MIAW	13	0	1	8	0	25%!	Allen	mid	3.1
4	NOW	0	0	0	0	0	20%!	Allen	mid	0.0
5	NEL	10	0	0	0	0	18%!	Allen	tough	1.0
6	@ATLL	5	0	1	11	0	42%	Allen	mid	2.6
8	@CARW	6	0	0	0	0	32%!	Allen	soft	0.6
9	KCW	8	1	2	12	0	20%!	Allen	tough	10.0
10	@MIAL	2	0	2	24	0	40%	Allen	mid	4.6
11	TBW	9	0	2	61	1	32%!	Allen	mid	15.0
12	@HOUL	7	0	3	45	0	35%!	Allen	tough	8.2
13	@PITW	5	0	3	20	0	27%!	Allen	tough	5.5
14	CINW	25	0	2	14	0	25%!	Allen	soft	5.9
15	@NEW	13	0	3	15	0	26%!	Allen	tough	5.8
16	@CLEW	16	1	0	0	0	32%!	Allen	mid	7.6
17	PHIL	15	0	3	33	0	38%!	Allen	mid	7.8
18	NYJW	36	1	2	20	1	33%!	Trubisky	soft	19.6

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — BUFvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

CHI

Wk 16

@DEN

Wk 17

@MIA

Full season

Wk 1

@HOU

Wk 2

DET

Wk 3

LAC

Wk 4

Wk 5

@LA

Wk 6

@LV

Wk 8

BAL

Wk 9

@MIN

Wk 10

@NYJ

Wk 11

MIA

Wk 12

Wk 13

@NE

Wk 14

@GB

Wk 15

CHI

Wk 16

@DEN

Wk 17

@MIA

Wk 18

NYJ

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.