Saquon Barkley
RB · PHI · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 14.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
Across all 16 games, Saquon Barkley averaged 14.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 189 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 61 and 309, with a 35% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
16 games · 14.5 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DALW | 60 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 79% | Hurts | soft | 18.4 |
| 2 | @KCW | 88 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 83% | Hurts | tough | 17.4 |
| 3 | LAW | 46 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 94% | Hurts | mid | 9.5 |
| 4 | @TBW | 43 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 84% | Hurts | mid | 17.4 |
| 5 | DENL | 30 | 0 | 3 | 58 | 1 | 72% | Hurts | tough | 17.8 |
| 6 | @NYGL | 58 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 81% | Hurts | soft | 8.7 |
| 7 | @MINW | 44 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 78% | Hurts | tough | 5.2 |
| 8 | NYGW | 150 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 59% | Hurts | soft | 33.4 |
| 10 | @GBW | 60 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 70% | Hurts | mid | 13.1 |
| 11 | DETW | 83 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 81% | Hurts | tough | 10.0 |
| 12 | @DALL | 22 | 0 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 83% | Hurts | soft | 12.4 |
| 13 | CHIL | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93% | Hurts | soft | 5.6 |
| 14 | @LACL | 122 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82% | Hurts | tough | 18.2 |
| 15 | LVW | 78 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 57% | Hurts | mid | 17.2 |
| 16 | @WASW | 132 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77% | Hurts | soft | 21.2 |
| 17 | @BUFW | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80% | Hurts | soft | 6.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4 (0.2 → 0.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.