Dalton Schultz
TE · HOU · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Likely noise: This 1-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±5.6), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.
In games with stroud, Schultz averaged 10.2 PPG — 0.2 fewer than the 10.5 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 106 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 54 and 157, with a 54% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
17 games · 10.5 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LAL | 3 | 28 | 0 | 54% | Stroud | mid | 5.8 |
| 2 | TBL | 3 | 29 | 0 | 59% | Stroud | soft | 5.9 |
| 3 | @JAXL | 5 | 39 | 0 | 79% | Stroud | mid | 8.9 |
| 4 | TENW | 5 | 30 | 0 | 85% | Stroud | soft | 8.0 |
| 5 | @BALW | 5 | 60 | 0 | 59% | Stroud | tough | 11.0 |
| 7 | @SEAL | 9 | 98 | 0 | 75% | Stroud | soft | 18.8 |
| 8 | SFW | 2 | 24 | 0 | 61% | Stroud | mid | 4.4 |
| 9 | DENL | 6 | 77 | 0 | 79% | Mills | mid | 13.7 |
| 10 | JAXW | 7 | 53 | 1 | 77% | Mills | mid | 18.3 |
| 11 | @TENW | 6 | 51 | 0 | 69% | Mills | soft | 11.1 |
| 12 | BUFW | 1 | 8 | 0 | 81% | Mills | tough | 1.8 |
| 13 | @INDW | 7 | 55 | 0 | 72% | Stroud | soft | 12.5 |
| 14 | @KCW | 3 | 22 | 0 | 74% | Stroud | tough | 5.2 |
| 15 | ARIW | 8 | 76 | 1 | 79% | Stroud | soft | 21.6 |
| 16 | LVW | 5 | 35 | 1 | 71% | Stroud | mid | 14.5 |
| 17 | @LACW | 3 | 19 | 0 | 78% | Stroud | tough | 4.9 |
| 18 | INDW | 4 | 73 | 0 | 56% | Stroud | soft | 11.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (3.6 → 4.2yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.