TrueSplits

Cooper Kupp

WR · SEA · on the draft board

market valueWR71· 25 value· tier 45· ▲ up 9 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.3) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.3
Avg PPG (split)
6
Median week
16
Ceiling
1.6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 10%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 13 chances
-5.3%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (SEA)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (SEA)
8.3
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.0 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
15%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+2.1
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 7.3-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Cooper Kupp averaged 7.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 112
5094% bust5% @1.5x168

Expect about 112 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 168, with a 94% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 7.3 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1SFL215088%Darnoldsoft3.5
2@PITW790069%Darnoldsoft16.0
3NOW231054%Darnoldtough5.1
4@ARIW426074%Darnoldmid6.6
5TBL659089%Darnoldmid11.9
6@JAXW240171%Darnoldmid12.0
7HOUW132075%Darnoldtough2.2
10ARIW274053%Darnoldmid9.4
11@LAL323081%Darnoldsoft5.3
12@TENW224077%Darnoldsoft4.4
13MINW324076%Darnoldtough5.4
14@ATLW235169%Darnoldmid11.5
15INDW546075%Darnoldsoft9.6
16LAW339093%Darnoldsoft6.9
17@CARW16088%Darnoldtough1.6
18@SFW229077%Darnoldsoft4.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 23

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1yd (2.43.3yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — SEAvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@PHI
Wk 16
LA
Wk 17
@CAR
Full season
Wk 1
NE
Wk 2
@ARI
Wk 3
@WAS
Wk 4
LAC
Wk 5
SF
Wk 6
@DEN
Wk 7
KC
Wk 8
CHI
Wk 9
ARI
Wk 10
@LV
Wk 12
@SF
Wk 13
DAL
Wk 14
NYG
Wk 15
@PHI
Wk 16
LA
Wk 17
@CAR
Wk 18
@LA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.