TrueSplits

James Conner

RB · ARI · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
11.1PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.1) · 3 games
Not enough gamesSmall sample · under 4 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.1
Avg PPG (split)
12.2
Median week
14.4
Ceiling
6.7
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 6 chances
+5.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (ARI)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (ARI)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 11.1-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 3 games, James Conner averaged 11.1 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 68
2295% bust5% @1.5x111

Expect about 68 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 22 and 111, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

3 games · 11.1 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NOW39045165%Murraymid14.4
2CARW341118055%Murraysoft12.2
3@SFL220315030%!Murraysoft6.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — ARIvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Full season
Wk 1
@LAC
Wk 2
SEA
Wk 3
@SF
Wk 4
@NYG
Wk 5
DET
Wk 6
@LA
Wk 7
DEN
Wk 8
@DAL
Wk 9
@SEA
Wk 10
LA
Wk 11
@KC
Wk 12
WAS
Wk 13
PHI
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Wk 18
SF

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.