George Kittle
TE · SF · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Likely noise: This 5.5-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±8.3), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.
In games with purdy, Kittle averaged 16.7 PPG — 2 more than the 14.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Boom/bust watch: 42% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 132 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 68 and 196, with a 34% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
11 games · 14.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @SEAW | 4 | 25 | 1 | 28%! | Purdy | soft | 12.5 |
| 7 | ATLW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81% | Jones | tough | 0.0 |
| 8 | @HOUL | 4 | 43 | 1 | 90% | Jones | tough | 14.3 |
| 9 | @NYGW | 4 | 32 | 0 | 86% | Jones | tough | 6.9 |
| 10 | LAL | 9 | 84 | 1 | 90% | Jones | mid | 23.4 |
| 11 | @ARIW | 6 | 67 | 2 | 87% | Purdy | soft | 24.7 |
| 12 | CARW | 6 | 78 | 0 | 91% | Purdy | mid | 13.8 |
| 13 | @CLEW | 4 | 67 | 0 | 87% | Purdy | tough | 10.7 |
| 15 | TENW | 8 | 88 | 1 | 96% | Purdy | soft | 22.8 |
| 16 | @INDW | 7 | 115 | 1 | 62% | Purdy | soft | 24.5 |
| 18 | SEAL | 5 | 29 | 0 | 95% | Purdy | soft | 7.9 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.3yd (3.9 → 3.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.