TrueSplits

Jacoby Brissett

QB · ARI · on the draft board

market valueQB27· 91 value· tier 44· ▼ down 21 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
18.9PPG
+2.7 vs 2025 avg (16.2) · 12 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Brissett
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

18.9
Avg PPG (split)
19.5
Median week
24.8
Ceiling
10.6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 63% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
3%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 5 chances
+5.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (ARI)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (ARI)
+3.4%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.94s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 18.8-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with brissett, Brissett averaged 18.9 PPG — 2.7 more than the 16.2 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 205
10085% bust5% @1.5x267

Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

14 games · 16.2 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
2CARW000202%!Murraytough0.2
5TENL000004%!Murraymid0.0
6@INDL32021190100%Brissettmid20.7
7GBL27920260100%Brissettsoft19.8
9@DALW2612041100%Brissettsoft24.8
10@SEAL2582031096%Brissetttough19.4
11SFL45222-20100%Brissettsoft21.9
12JAXL3171020098%Brissetttough18.7
13@TBL30121160100%Brissettsoft19.6
14LAL27121220100%Brissettmid19.0
15@HOUL2493160100%Brissettmid20.6
16ATLL2031150100%Brissettmid10.6
17@CINL2122000100%Brissettsoft16.5
18@LAL24321190100%Brissettmid15.6

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 6Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.6% (3.6 → 3%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — ARIvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Full season
Wk 1
@LAC
Wk 2
SEA
Wk 3
@SF
Wk 4
@NYG
Wk 5
DET
Wk 6
@LA
Wk 7
DEN
Wk 8
@DAL
Wk 9
@SEA
Wk 10
LA
Wk 11
@KC
Wk 12
WAS
Wk 13
PHI
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Wk 18
SF

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.