TrueSplits

Jared Goff

QB · DET · on the draft board

market valueQB16· 1,042 value· tier 35· ▲ up 292 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
17.5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (17.5) · 17 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

17.5
Avg PPG (split)
16.8
Median week
34
Ceiling
2.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 69% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
2%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 3 chances
-6.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (DET)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DET)
+1.6%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.70s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 17.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Jared Goff averaged 17.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 258
12650% bust5% @1.5x336

Expect about 258 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 126 and 336, with a 50% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

17 games · 17.5 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1@GBL22511-10100%Goffsoft10.9
2CHIW334506095%Goffsoft34.0
3@BALW2021060100%Goffmid12.7
4CLEW168210093%Gofftough12.7
5@CINW25830-20100%Goffsoft20.1
6@KCL2032070100%Gofftough16.8
7TBW2411170100%Goffsoft10.3
9MINL2842000100%Gofftough19.4
10@WASW320300087%Goffsoft24.8
11@PHIL25511-10100%Goffmid12.1
12NYGW2792100100%Goffmid17.2
13GBL25620240100%Goffsoft20.6
14DALW30910-20100%Goffsoft16.2
15@LAL3383000100%Goffmid25.5
16PITL36430-10100%Goffsoft26.5
17@MINL1971220100%Gofftough2.1
18@CHIW3311100100%Goffsoft15.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -6% (3.6-2.3%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DETvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Full season
Wk 1
NO
Wk 2
@BUF
Wk 3
NYJ
Wk 4
@CAR
Wk 5
@ARI
Wk 7
GB
Wk 8
MIN
Wk 9
@MIA
Wk 10
NE
Wk 11
TB
Wk 12
CHI
Wk 13
@ATL
Wk 14
TEN
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Wk 18
@GB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.