TrueSplits

Stefon Diggs

WR · WAS · on the draft board

market valueWR39· 968 value· tier 35· ▲ up 436 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
12.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (12.4) · 17 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.4
Avg PPG (split)
11.7
Median week
24.6
Ceiling
4
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 11%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 12 chances
+4%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (NE)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NE)
8.5
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.0 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
20%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.8
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 12.4-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Stefon Diggs averaged 12.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 153
6870% bust5% @1.5x230

Expect about 153 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 68 and 230, with a 70% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 12.4 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1LVL657041%Mayemid11.7
2@MIAW432052%Mayemid7.2
3PITL323053%Mayesoft5.3
4CARW6101063%Mayetough16.1
5@BUFW10146050%Mayetough24.6
6@NOW328059%Mayetough5.8
7@TENW769054%Mayesoft13.9
8CLEW314151%Mayemid10.4
9ATLW338160%Mayemid12.8
10@TBW546159%Mayemid15.6
11NYJW9105069%Mayemid19.5
12@CINW220048%Mayetough4.0
13NYGW326048%Mayesoft5.6
15BUFL326050%Mayetough5.6
16@BALW9138059%Mayesoft22.8
17@NYJW6101152%Mayemid22.1
18MIAW343046%Mayemid7.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 21

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4yd (2.92.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — WASvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Full season
Wk 1
@PHI
Wk 2
@DAL
Wk 3
SEA
Wk 4
IND
Wk 5
NYG
Wk 6
@SF
Wk 8
PHI
Wk 9
LA
Wk 10
@NYG
Wk 11
CIN
Wk 12
@ARI
Wk 13
@TEN
Wk 14
HOU
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Wk 18
DAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.