Mike Evans
WR · SF · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 10.6-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
Across all 8 games, Mike Evans averaged 10.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 171 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 77 and 258, with a 57% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
8 games · 10.6 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ATLW | 5 | 51 | 0 | 83% | Mayfield | mid | 10.1 |
| 2 | @HOUW | 5 | 56 | 0 | 79% | Mayfield | tough | 10.6 |
| 3 | NYJW | 4 | 33 | 1 | 72% | Mayfield | mid | 13.3 |
| 7 | @DETL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20%! | Mayfield | soft | 0.0 |
| 15 | ATLL | 6 | 132 | 0 | 55% | Mayfield | mid | 19.2 |
| 16 | @CARL | 5 | 31 | 1 | 66% | Mayfield | tough | 14.1 |
| 17 | @MIAL | 3 | 31 | 1 | 75% | Mayfield | mid | 12.1 |
| 18 | CARW | 2 | 34 | 0 | 75% | Mayfield | tough | 5.4 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.3yd (1.8 → 2.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.