TrueSplits

Davante Adams

WR · LA · on the draft board

market valueWR22· 2,896 value· tier 25· ▼ down 112 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
15.9PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (15.9) · 14 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

15.9
Avg PPG (split)
15.1
Median week
26.5
Ceiling
6.9
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 38% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
16%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 32 chances
+5.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (LA)
17%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LA)
13.2
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.2 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
28%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.6
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 15.9-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 14 games, Davante Adams averaged 15.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 201
9043% bust18% @1.5x303

Expect about 201 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 90 and 303, with a 43% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

14 games · 15.9 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1HOUW451090%Staffordtough9.1
2@TENW6106180%Staffordsoft22.6
3@PHIL356186%Staffordtough14.6
4INDW456183%Staffordsoft15.6
5SFL588085%Staffordsoft13.8
6@BALW439079%Staffordsoft7.9
7@JAXW535359%Staffordmid26.5
9NOW560260%Staffordtough23.0
10@SFW677151%Staffordsoft19.7
11SEAW11186%Staffordtough7.1
12TBW562277%Staffordmid23.2
13@CARL458275%Staffordtough21.8
14@ARIW429043%Staffordmid6.9
15DETW471046%Staffordsoft11.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 21

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4yd (2.21.9yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LAvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Full season
Wk 1
SF
Wk 2
NYG
Wk 3
@DEN
Wk 4
@PHI
Wk 5
BUF
Wk 6
ARI
Wk 7
@LV
Wk 8
LAC
Wk 9
@WAS
Wk 10
@ARI
Wk 12
GB
Wk 13
KC
Wk 14
@SF
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Wk 18
SEA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.