Keenan Allen
WR · IND · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 0.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with herbert, Allen averaged 10.8 PPG — 0 more than the 10.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 126 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 56 and 190, with a 87% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
17 games · 10.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KCW | 7 | 68 | 1 | 62% | Herbert | tough | 19.8 |
| 2 | @LVW | 5 | 61 | 1 | 55% | Herbert | mid | 17.1 |
| 3 | DENW | 7 | 65 | 1 | 65% | Herbert | tough | 19.5 |
| 4 | @NYGL | 5 | 37 | 0 | 78% | Herbert | soft | 8.7 |
| 5 | WASL | 5 | 58 | 0 | 58% | Herbert | soft | 10.8 |
| 6 | @MIAW | 4 | 27 | 0 | 56% | Herbert | mid | 6.7 |
| 7 | INDL | 11 | 119 | 1 | 64% | Herbert | soft | 28.9 |
| 8 | MINW | 4 | 44 | 0 | 25%! | Herbert | tough | 8.4 |
| 9 | @TENW | 2 | 41 | 0 | 37%! | Herbert | soft | 6.1 |
| 10 | PITW | 2 | 19 | 0 | 51% | Herbert | soft | 3.9 |
| 11 | @JAXL | 4 | 53 | 0 | 75% | Herbert | mid | 9.3 |
| 13 | LVW | 4 | 30 | 0 | 60% | Herbert | mid | 7.0 |
| 14 | PHIW | 3 | 22 | 0 | 57% | Herbert | tough | 5.2 |
| 15 | @KCW | 5 | 36 | 0 | 42% | Herbert | tough | 8.6 |
| 16 | @DALW | 5 | 44 | 0 | 47% | Herbert | soft | 9.4 |
| 17 | HOUL | 1 | 17 | 0 | 57% | Herbert | tough | 2.7 |
| 18 | @DENL | 7 | 36 | 0 | 54% | Lance | tough | 10.6 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (2.5 → 3.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.