Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · on the draft board

market valueQB29· 72 value· tier 44· ▼ down 2 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

14.5PPG

+0.3 vs 2025 avg (14.2) · 15 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Rodgers

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.5

Avg PPG (split)

15.5

Median week

25.7

Ceiling

2.7

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 66% · regression risk

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 3 chances

-0.2%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (PIT)

Team play-action

of dropbacks (PIT)

-1.4%

Completion % over exp

accuracy vs throw difficulty

2.59s

Time to throw

avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 5.1-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with rodgers, Rodgers averaged 14.5 PPG — 0.3 more than the 14.2 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 205

10085% bust5% @1.5x267

Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

16 games · 14.2 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Pass yd	TD	INT	Rush yd	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@NYJW	244	4	0	-1	0	100%	Rodgers	soft	25.7
2	SEAL	203	1	2	3	0	95%	Rodgers	tough	10.4
3	@NEW	139	2	1	1	0	100%	Rodgers	tough	11.7
4	MINW	200	1	0	8	0	100%	Rodgers	tough	12.8
6	CLEW	235	2	0	1	0	95%	Rodgers	tough	17.5
7	@CINL	249	4	2	6	0	100%	Rodgers	soft	22.6
8	GBL	219	2	0	0	0	100%	Rodgers	soft	16.8
9	INDW	203	1	0	0	0	100%	Rodgers	mid	12.1
10	@LACL	161	1	2	0	0	100%	Rodgers	tough	6.4
11	CINW	116	1	0	8	0	57%	Rudolph	soft	9.4
13	BUFL	117	0	0	0	0	84%	Rodgers	tough	2.7
14	@BALW	284	1	0	0	1	100%	Rodgers	mid	21.5
15	MIAW	224	2	0	0	0	100%	Rodgers	soft	17.0
16	@DETW	266	1	0	9	0	100%	Rodgers	soft	15.5
17	@CLEL	168	0	0	6	0	100%	Rodgers	tough	7.3
18	BALW	294	1	0	20	0	100%	Rodgers	mid	17.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -1.8% (-1.4 → -3.2%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PITvs QB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Full season

Wk 1

ATL

Wk 2

@NE

Wk 3

CIN

Wk 4

@CLE

Wk 5

IND

Wk 6

@TB

Wk 7

@NO

Wk 8

CLE

Wk 10

@CIN

Wk 11

@PHI

Wk 12

DEN

Wk 13

HOU

Wk 14

@JAX

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Wk 18

@BAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.