Caleb Douglas

WRMIA· bye 6no NFL games

There is no TrueValue for Caleb Douglas. Every number on this site is computed from real play-by-play, and he has not played an NFL snap — so there is nothing to measure and we will not print a projection in place of one. What follows is what we can actually stand behind: what he costs, where he was drafted, and what players drafted there have really done as rookies.

Market cost

ADP 15.05 (overall 172.8) — measured by Fantasy Football Calculator across thousands of live drafts. This is the one number here that is his.

Draft capital

Round 3, pick 75 (MIA)

What his cohort did

WRs drafted in the 3rd round since 2015: median 3.8 PPG as rookies, 12% cleared 10 PPG (n=50)

A measured rate for the players drafted where he was drafted, from their real rookie seasons — including the ones who never produced, who count as zero. It is not a projection about him, and the spread inside a cohort is enormous.

No outcome range is shown for a player with no NFL games. The calibrated ranges elsewhere on this site are fitted on every player-season with an ADP, a field that is roughly 88% veterans — and at the same draft cost, rookies have landed 4–10% below the veteran median in every bucket we measured. Applying that range here would not be approximate, it would be optimistic in a fixed direction about the player we know least about.

Draft room Full board